Friday 9th May, 2008
The results of Super Tuesday!
Issue #1395 [Feb 8th 2008]
The Republican Race
After Super Tuesday, John McCain has cemented his position as front-runner for the Republican nomination. However the race is not over, with Mike Huckabee’s surprise performance turning it into a 3-horse contest.
John McCain won the big states, New York and California, as well as 7 other states giving him a total win of 511 delegates. His performance positions him as the front-runner but certainly has not ended the race. There were mixed feelings at the McCain camp after the victory. While he told the crowd “Tonight, I think we must get used to the idea, that we are the Republican Party front-runner”, he was also cautious, speaking in terms of a “long way ahead”. Mr McCain has good reason to be cautious, he is still treated with suspicion by Republican conservatives who believe him to be soft on the Democrats and somewhat of a maverick. Super Tuesday has shown us that Republican conservatives are still not willing to embrace McCain, preferring Romney and Huckabee.
Mitt Romney certainly had a bad night on Tuesday. He is significantly behind John McCain in terms of delegates. He won 7 states but only accrued 176 delegates as a result. The McCain campaign team has certainly tried to portray Romney as out of the race, by releasing a memo penned by McCain strategist Charlie Black. “With Mike Huckabee still a factor in this race, particularly in the South, and many contests moving forward proportional, the math is nearly impossible for Mitt Romney to win the nomination,” he wrote.
Mike Huckabee is a thorn in the side for the Romney campaign. By directly competing with Romney for conservative support, Huckabee has split the Republican conservative vote and given McCain an opportunity to extend his lead. it is becoming very likely that Huckabee is staying in the race, precisely to prevent Romney from winning the race. While Huckabee and McCain do not agree on all of their policy, they do share a dislike of Mitt Romney.
The Democratic Race
The race to secure the democratic nomination remains neck and neck after a largely inconclusive Super Tuesday for Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. Their wins are largely balanced and it doesn’t seem too unbelievable to suggest that the nomination might still be contested at the Democratic National Convention.